| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
397 |
0.865 |
$343.19 |
$7.53 |
+2.2% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
215 |
0.938 |
$201.56 |
$1.30 |
+0.7% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.903 |
$180.70 |
$18.94 |
+11.7% |
| Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
No |
162 |
0.982 |
$158.81 |
$10.19 |
+6.9% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? |
No |
174 |
0.910 |
$158.34 |
$45.84 |
+40.7% |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 |
No |
180 |
0.745 |
$134.10 |
$-17.10 |
-11.3% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
200 |
0.643 |
$128.70 |
$-9.80 |
-7.1% |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.947 |
$94.65 |
$6.65 |
+7.6% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
195 |
0.485 |
$94.61 |
$40.25 |
+74.0% |
| U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.920 |
$92.00 |
$4.00 |
+4.5% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
100 |
0.883 |
$88.35 |
$2.75 |
+3.2% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
117 |
0.742 |
$86.76 |
$0.93 |
+1.1% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
No |
100 |
0.865 |
$86.50 |
$0.50 |
+0.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
No |
123 |
0.665 |
$81.93 |
$-0.44 |
-0.5% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
100 |
0.816 |
$81.55 |
$6.25 |
+8.3% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.695 |
$69.45 |
$18.15 |
+35.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.670 |
$67.00 |
$4.00 |
+6.3% |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
No |
100 |
0.615 |
$61.50 |
$-18.50 |
-23.1% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? |
No |
75 |
0.740 |
$55.85 |
$12.08 |
+27.6% |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? |
No |
70 |
0.715 |
$49.88 |
$10.12 |
+25.4% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? |
No |
145 |
0.310 |
$44.95 |
$-41.15 |
-47.8% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-02 House seat? |
No |
45 |
0.942 |
$42.81 |
$-0.11 |
-0.3% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
No |
42 |
0.865 |
$36.46 |
$-0.63 |
-1.7% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
No |
200 |
0.180 |
$36.00 |
$-35.80 |
-49.9% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? |
No |
147 |
0.210 |
$30.84 |
$-33.28 |
-51.9% |