| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
13,000 |
0.883 |
$11,485.50 |
$4,985.50 |
+76.7% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
12,184 |
0.830 |
$10,112.46 |
$231.25 |
+2.3% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
13,000 |
0.117 |
$1,514.50 |
$-4,985.50 |
-76.7% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
7,342 |
0.155 |
$1,137.98 |
$-2,795.43 |
-71.1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.085 |
$850.00 |
$-150.00 |
-15.0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.455 |
$455.00 |
$-50.00 |
-9.9% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
10,015 |
0.035 |
$345.52 |
$-805.22 |
-70.0% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
3,000 |
0.114 |
$340.54 |
$-1,069.81 |
-75.9% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.036 |
$182.50 |
$-67.50 |
-27.0% |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? |
Yes |
1,127 |
0.145 |
$163.43 |
$-64.36 |
-28.3% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
425 |
0.300 |
$127.42 |
$-43.95 |
-25.6% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.025 |
$127.00 |
$82.00 |
+182.2% |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? |
Yes |
1,646 |
0.066 |
$108.67 |
$92.20 |
+560.0% |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
No |
125 |
0.715 |
$89.38 |
$14.38 |
+19.2% |
| Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? |
Yes |
2,017 |
0.043 |
$85.71 |
$-342.63 |
-80.0% |
| Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.037 |
$75.00 |
$-25.00 |
-25.0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
3,333 |
0.021 |
$71.33 |
$-71.99 |
-50.2% |
| Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? |
Yes |
261 |
0.265 |
$69.29 |
$14.38 |
+26.2% |
| Natural Disaster in 2026? |
Yes |
147 |
0.225 |
$33.16 |
$28.74 |
+650.0% |
| Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? |
Yes |
200 |
0.140 |
$28.00 |
$12.00 |
+75.0% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
480 |
0.025 |
$11.76 |
$-118.68 |
-91.0% |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
4,625 |
0.003 |
$11.56 |
$-11.56 |
-50.0% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
4 |
0.845 |
$3.79 |
$1.50 |
+65.7% |
| Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? |
Yes |
663 |
0.002 |
$0.99 |
$-10.26 |
-91.2% |