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Trader leaderboard/ScottsRoad

ScottsRoad

0xcceb22d524e186153cffe79f13c0aeb75889f030
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$46
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$396
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
38%
30W / 49L · 587 open
Win Return (30d)
24%
147W / 473L · 46 open
Trades (30d)
666
across 310 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$1.12
avg win $4 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.58
$62 won / $108 lost
Reward / Risk
0.90
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$46
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $19,808 · all-time $2,186,375

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 31.7% 255W/550L 1480 $55,918
💵 Economy 10.0% 1W/9L 166 $5,006
🏛 Politics 16.7% 1W/5L 130 $3,463
₿ Crypto 12.5% 1W/7L 111 $3,154
⚽ Sports 63 $1,440
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/5L 43 $1,238
🤖 Tech 33 $995
🔬 Science 2 $42
🌤 Weather 1 $36

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Yo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 122 0.660 $80.59 $-17.35 -17.7%
Will Nick Kurtz hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? No 80 0.983 $78.64 $9.84 +14.3%
Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 80 0.983 $78.60 $8.20 +11.6%
Will Emily Engstler have the highest blocks per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? No 80 0.974 $77.92 $1.92 +2.5%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31? No 80 0.939 $75.12 $0.96 +1.3%
Will the Ornn A100 Index be at least $1.50 on September 30, 2026? No 80 0.915 $73.20 $-2.00 -2.7%
Relay FDV above $900M one day after launch? No 80 0.882 $70.56 $1.28 +1.8%
Will $ANSEM reach $0.8 before 2027? No 77 0.905 $70.12 $1.16 +1.7%
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $60 in August? No 69 0.965 $66.84 $2.39 +3.7%
Will $ANSEM reach $1 before 2027? No 70 0.940 $65.77 $2.06 +3.2%
Huddle FDV above $20M one day after launch? No 71 0.919 $65.25 $-1.49 -2.2%
Will PI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? No 80 0.807 $64.56 $-1.28 -1.9%
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? No 100 0.645 $64.50 $-5.50 -7.9%
Hotstuff FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 80 0.760 $60.80 $-10.40 -14.6%
Will Phygitals launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 70 0.835 $58.45 $-1.75 -2.9%
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? No 64 0.905 $58.24 $0.59 +1.0%
Will Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No 62 0.861 $53.38 $-3.97 -6.9%
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 57 0.910 $52.30 $4.02 +8.3%
Will Noble launch a token by June 30, 2027? No 80 0.635 $50.80 $-8.40 -14.2%
SlingshotDAO FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 63 0.790 $49.78 $-6.93 -12.2%
Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat? No 80 0.620 $49.60 $-11.20 -18.4%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-10 House seat? No 50 0.976 $48.77 $5.77 +13.4%
Will Chris Sale win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? No 51 0.956 $48.76 $1.48 +3.1%
Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes 80 0.600 $48.00 $-14.40 -23.1%
Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch? No 50 0.956 $47.66 $1.55 +3.4%