| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
17,927 |
0.355 |
$6,363.94 |
$-2,569.19 |
-28.8% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
400 |
0.455 |
$182.00 |
$-18.00 |
-9.0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
Yes |
600 |
0.275 |
$165.00 |
$-9.00 |
-5.2% |
| Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling? |
Yes |
1,405 |
0.095 |
$133.47 |
$-413.17 |
-75.6% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.185 |
$92.50 |
$32.50 |
+54.2% |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? |
Yes |
100 |
0.620 |
$62.00 |
$12.00 |
+24.0% |
| Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee? |
Yes |
200 |
0.285 |
$56.98 |
$-103.02 |
-64.4% |
| Will Trump praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August? |
Yes |
63 |
0.740 |
$46.92 |
$15.22 |
+48.0% |
| Will Trump say "Moscow" in August? |
Yes |
100 |
0.335 |
$33.50 |
$-1.50 |
-4.3% |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? |
Yes |
1,300 |
0.025 |
$33.02 |
$-86.68 |
-72.4% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? |
Yes |
45 |
0.361 |
$16.38 |
$-9.45 |
-36.6% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
303 |
0.050 |
$15.16 |
$-177.94 |
-92.1% |
| Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? |
Yes |
2,524 |
0.003 |
$6.31 |
$1.26 |
+25.0% |
| Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
2,500 |
0.003 |
$6.25 |
$1.25 |
+25.0% |
| Will the Left Party (V) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? |
Yes |
4,127 |
0.002 |
$6.19 |
$-2.06 |
-25.0% |
| Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? |
Yes |
4,000 |
0.002 |
$6.00 |
$-2.00 |
-25.0% |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,700 |
0.004 |
$5.95 |
$0.85 |
+16.7% |
| Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? |
Yes |
3,788 |
0.002 |
$5.68 |
$-1.89 |
-25.0% |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
1,930 |
0.003 |
$4.82 |
$0.96 |
+25.0% |
| Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? |
Yes |
1,700 |
0.003 |
$4.25 |
$-0.85 |
-16.7% |
| Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
381 |
0.011 |
$4.20 |
$3.05 |
+266.7% |
| Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
2,563 |
0.002 |
$3.84 |
$-3.84 |
-50.0% |
| Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
Yes |
2,500 |
0.002 |
$3.75 |
$-1.25 |
-25.0% |
| Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
2,500 |
0.002 |
$3.75 |
$-1.25 |
-25.0% |
| Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
Yes |
2,500 |
0.002 |
$3.75 |
$-1.25 |
-25.0% |