L.X
0xcc2c17375fe97e38e1f734ae30f42cab57f20a2c
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$161
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$81
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-22.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
25%
29W / 85L · 42 open
Win Return (30d)
26%
40W / 115L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
156
across 78 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$3.09
avg win $3 · loss $5
Profit Factor
0.18
$35 won / $196 lost
Reward / Risk
0.49
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$5
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $1,870,750
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by 10–15%? |
Yes |
20 |
0.011 |
$0.23 |
$-3.37 |
-93.6% |
| Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by 5–10%? |
Yes |
25 |
0.001 |
$0.01 |
$-11.56 |
-99.9% |
| Will Kawhi play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27? |
Yes |
20 |
0.001 |
$0.01 |
$-0.19 |
-95.0% |
| Will Kawhi play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27? |
Yes |
20 |
0.001 |
$0.01 |
$-0.19 |
-95.0% |
| Will another outcome occur in the NY-07 Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
7 |
0.002 |
$0.01 |
$-0.18 |
-94.8% |
| Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? |
Yes |
4 |
0.001 |
$0.00 |
$-0.97 |
-99.8% |