| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
85,024 |
0.925 |
$78,646.99 |
$1,436.82 |
+1.9% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
131,616 |
0.460 |
$60,477.69 |
$9,114.17 |
+17.7% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
131,616 |
0.278 |
$36,523.42 |
$3,659.32 |
+11.1% |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
Yes |
19,223 |
0.715 |
$13,744.74 |
$465.36 |
+3.5% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
13,407 |
0.935 |
$12,535.08 |
$1,171.19 |
+10.3% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? |
No |
7,000 |
0.945 |
$6,615.29 |
$129.47 |
+2.0% |
| Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch? |
No |
5,106 |
0.935 |
$4,773.67 |
$689.78 |
+16.9% |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
No |
5,003 |
0.865 |
$4,327.91 |
$2,586.71 |
+148.6% |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? |
Yes |
5,259 |
0.445 |
$2,340.05 |
$176.82 |
+8.2% |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? |
No |
2,367 |
0.790 |
$1,870.09 |
$535.09 |
+40.1% |
| Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? |
No |
1,846 |
0.905 |
$1,670.58 |
$220.00 |
+15.2% |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? |
No |
1,870 |
0.870 |
$1,626.89 |
$39.73 |
+2.5% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
74,077 |
0.021 |
$1,518.58 |
$-21.93 |
-1.4% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
33,799 |
0.022 |
$760.47 |
$-1,456.15 |
-65.7% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
3,535 |
0.135 |
$475.51 |
$151.52 |
+46.8% |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
Yes |
1,434 |
0.320 |
$459.01 |
$97.42 |
+26.9% |
| Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? |
No |
377 |
0.855 |
$322.31 |
$62.20 |
+23.9% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.209 |
$209.50 |
$8.50 |
+4.2% |
| Joe Burrow traded to the Jets? |
No |
150 |
0.994 |
$149.43 |
$13.43 |
+9.9% |
| Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch |
No |
218 |
0.675 |
$147.29 |
$-2.11 |
-1.4% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
1,010 |
0.117 |
$117.68 |
$2.68 |
+2.3% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.090 |
$90.50 |
$-2.50 |
-2.7% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.088 |
$88.50 |
$-5.50 |
-5.9% |
| Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? |
Yes |
423 |
0.120 |
$50.72 |
$0.72 |
+1.4% |