0xcB5f207Fb1653B7Ff4D381ADB4E9dfDc5c504F34-1730638202448
0xcb5f207fb1653b7ff4d381adb4e9dfdc5c504f34
PnL (30d)
+$1
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
78%
59W / 17L · 18 open
Win Return (30d)
77%
72W / 22L
Trades (30d)
94
across 50 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.02
avg win $0 · loss $1
Profit Factor
1.10
$10 won / $9 lost
Reward / Risk
0.45
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $40 · all-time $21,927
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.975 |
$4.87 |
$0.09 |
+1.9% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? |
No |
5 |
0.971 |
$4.85 |
$0.30 |
+6.7% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
5 |
0.966 |
$4.83 |
$0.18 |
+3.9% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.957 |
$4.79 |
$0.03 |
+0.6% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.950 |
$4.75 |
$0.15 |
+3.4% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
5 |
0.940 |
$4.70 |
$0.25 |
+5.6% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
5 |
0.922 |
$4.61 |
$-0.18 |
-3.8% |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? |
No |
5 |
0.851 |
$4.25 |
$-0.47 |
-9.9% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
5 |
0.835 |
$4.17 |
$-0.59 |
-12.4% |