PnL (30d)

−$10,881

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

-32.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

15%

25W / 140L

Win Return (30d)

15%

25W / 140L

Trades (30d)

165

across 6 markets · ~28 per market

EV / position

−$1,813.46

avg win $259 · loss $5,959

Profit Factor

0.09

$1,038 won / $11,918 lost

Reward / Risk

0.04

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$8,433

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	26.3% 103W/289L	56	$241,682
🏛 Politics	5.4% 2W/35L	11	$14,146
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/29L	3	$8,433
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/6L	1	$455
🤖 Tech	—	1	$377

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	9,600	0.845	$8,112.01	$508.02	+6.7%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	6,762	0.852	$5,761.20	$75.85	+1.3%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	3,500	0.825	$2,887.50	$-192.50	-6.2%
Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	2,200	0.945	$2,079.00	$67.00	+3.3%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	2,148	0.830	$1,782.79	$684.51	+62.3%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	2,000	0.685	$1,370.00	$-30.00	-2.1%
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	1,241	0.855	$1,061.46	$80.70	+8.2%
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	Yes	770	0.715	$550.29	$-60.95	-10.0%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	293	1.000	$293.02	$6.30	+2.2%
Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	Yes	1,000	0.140	$140.00	$-10.00	-6.7%