| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
20,500 |
0.959 |
$19,659.48 |
$-189.97 |
-1.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
15,121 |
0.865 |
$13,079.39 |
$830.43 |
+6.8% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
31,574 |
0.184 |
$5,825.44 |
$-4,747.40 |
-44.9% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
5,400 |
0.935 |
$5,049.00 |
$1,107.00 |
+28.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
14,500 |
0.215 |
$3,117.50 |
$-9,932.50 |
-76.1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
2,500 |
0.935 |
$2,337.49 |
$287.50 |
+14.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
9,000 |
0.165 |
$1,485.00 |
$-1,215.00 |
-45.0% |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
1,256 |
0.998 |
$1,253.48 |
$26.39 |
+2.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
No |
1,511 |
0.665 |
$1,004.71 |
$-137.10 |
-12.0% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
650 |
0.945 |
$614.25 |
$198.25 |
+47.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
712 |
0.675 |
$480.64 |
$-74.77 |
-13.5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
500 |
0.675 |
$337.50 |
$22.50 |
+7.1% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.605 |
$302.50 |
$57.50 |
+23.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
850 |
0.235 |
$199.75 |
$-395.25 |
-66.4% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
437 |
0.356 |
$155.85 |
$-12.90 |
-7.6% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
1,760 |
0.037 |
$65.98 |
$-9.68 |
-12.8% |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
1,600 |
0.001 |
$0.80 |
$-79.20 |
-99.0% |