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Trader

0xcb39d6f16f6a2da220a1910a7760f54fa7241d84
PnL (30d)
−$36
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-12.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
44%
69W / 88L · 63 open
Win Return (30d)
43%
90W / 121L · 9 open
Trades (30d)
220
across 107 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.41
avg win $1 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.58
$50 won / $86 lost
Reward / Risk
0.74
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$12
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $166,414

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 43.9% 69W/88L 107 $419
⚽ Sports 48.7% 19W/20L 30 $80
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/6L 4 $16
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/6L 2 $13
₿ Crypto 1 $0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Yes 67 0.958 $64.62 $-1.27 -1.9%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 18 0.940 $17.34 $3.79 +28.0%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No 9 0.962 $8.50 $0.50 +6.3%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No 5 0.967 $5.02 $1.13 +28.9%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 3 0.746 $2.41 $0.50 +26.1%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 2 0.945 $2.06 $0.08 +3.9%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 8 0.184 $1.45 $-0.18 -11.1%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 8 0.165 $1.35 $-0.53 -28.2%
AS Monaco vs. Cercle Brugge: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 2 0.495 $1.18 $-0.77 -39.6%
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-08? Yes 1 0.670 $0.79 $-0.33 -29.5%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No 5 0.150 $0.79 $-0.15 -15.9%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 2 0.356 $0.67 $-0.13 -16.5%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes 5 0.140 $0.64 $-1.22 -65.8%