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Trader leaderboard/Thesickest

Thesickest

0xcb239d37d4e32efe494c1701f3d8a50b72078189
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$11
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
1W / 0L · 45 open
Win Return (30d)
65%
30W / 16L
Trades (30d)
46
across 21 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$1.05
avg win $1
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $870 · all-time $63,947

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 85.0% 68W/12L 152 $6,188
⚽ Sports 100.0% 1W/0L 6 $245
🏛 Politics 6 $398
🎬 Culture 2 $134

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

101 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 370 0.978 $361.68 $-3.51 -1.0%
Will Jill Tokuda be the HI-02 Democratic nominee? Yes 211 0.971 $204.58 $32.85 +19.1%
Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? No 205 0.946 $194.20 $8.27 +4.4%
Will Patrick Von Dohlen win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election? No 194 0.953 $184.97 $117.10 +172.5%
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No 159 0.944 $149.95 $2.21 +1.5%
Alcatraz reopened in 2026? No 151 0.981 $148.08 $11.92 +8.8%
Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election? Yes 158 0.815 $128.90 $46.92 +57.2%
Will Sheri Biggs place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? No 126 0.999 $125.34 $6.91 +5.8%
Will Gavin Solomon advance from the AK-AL primary election? No 125 0.985 $122.85 $4.72 +4.0%
Will Ron Nirenberg win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election? Yes 124 0.885 $109.34 $18.48 +20.3%
Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? Yes 110 0.978 $107.53 $7.20 +7.2%
Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election? Yes 110 0.875 $96.25 $1.14 +1.2%
Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award? No 79 0.988 $77.78 $6.15 +8.6%
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? No 80 0.962 $76.92 $0.86 +1.1%
Will Andy Eads win the 2026 Denton County Judge election? Yes 70 0.905 $63.12 $9.42 +17.5%
Will Craig Greenberg win the 2026 Louisville mayoral election? Yes 59 0.925 $54.90 $19.53 +55.2%
Will Chris Hill win the 2026 Collin County Judge election? Yes 61 0.895 $54.82 $5.67 +11.5%
Will Jamie Joyce win the CA-12 House seat? No 55 0.950 $52.54 $17.15 +48.4%
Will there be 10+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season? No 52 0.951 $49.13 $0.37 +0.8%
Will there be 9+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season? No 63 0.750 $47.60 $-11.69 -19.7%
Will Esteban "Steve" Guerra win the 2026 Cameron County Judge election? Yes 51 0.920 $46.50 $12.90 +38.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election? No 50 0.920 $46.15 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Bu Laia Hill win the 2026 Hawaii Governor Republican primary election? No 47 0.964 $45.45 $0.75 +1.7%
Will Henry McMaster place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? No 44 0.997 $44.03 $8.90 +25.3%
Will Joseph Kaufman be the FL-25 Republican nominee? No 42 0.996 $42.13 $4.62 +12.3%