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ooops

0xcb14f61711d913773f4b982af340fa7eae175358
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$968
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1,321
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
75%
490W / 161L · 211 open
Win Return (30d)
66%
566W / 294L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
862
across 142 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$9.22
avg win $22 · loss $32
Profit Factor
2.22
$1,762 won / $793 lost
Reward / Risk
0.69
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $10,982 · all-time $2,448,675

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 70.9% 1,136W/466L 336 $89,876
🎬 Culture 75.0% 3W/1L 15 $3,833
🏛 Politics 98.6% 68W/1L 14 $5,253
⚽ Sports 100.0% 14W/0L 4 $2,272
💵 Economy 100.0% 50W/0L 3 $3,337
🤖 Tech 1 $5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? Yes 4,419 0.640 $2,828.14 $-1,008.21 -26.3%
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? No 2,853 0.770 $2,196.82 $44.65 +2.1%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2,400 0.845 $2,027.98 $207.51 +11.4%
Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026? No 1,979 0.969 $1,916.22 $41.41 +2.2%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? No 1,901 0.987 $1,874.94 $108.73 +6.2%
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027? No 2,704 0.662 $1,790.11 $-555.84 -23.7%
Will Elon register any party before 2027? No 1,392 0.965 $1,342.26 $294.72 +28.1%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 1,200 0.980 $1,176.00 $28.90 +2.5%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No 1,200 0.945 $1,133.99 $321.00 +39.5%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No 1,200 0.945 $1,133.96 $341.99 +43.2%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 1,278 0.865 $1,105.29 $38.95 +3.7%
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No 1,114 0.895 $997.00 $170.77 +20.7%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 1,190 0.823 $978.76 $822.56 +526.6%
Reckless Ben in jail by December 31? No 1,040 0.865 $899.60 $20.40 +2.3%
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes 1,124 0.745 $837.30 $204.59 +32.3%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 1,770 0.459 $812.42 $110.84 +15.8%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No 1,250 0.595 $743.84 $-112.26 -13.1%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 751 0.987 $740.46 $48.03 +6.9%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 800 0.915 $732.00 $54.00 +8.0%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No 950 0.715 $679.25 $147.39 +27.7%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 700 0.938 $656.25 $16.80 +2.6%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 700 0.925 $647.50 $31.00 +5.0%
Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026? No 864 0.735 $635.02 $70.05 +12.4%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 719 0.852 $612.64 $89.21 +17.0%
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? No 691 0.880 $607.83 $98.08 +19.2%