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Trader

0xcb016f2b417f98c88fc91fffe7e69d4a6b1c7dfb
PnL (30d)
−$4,462
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$4,266
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
60%
17,955W / 11,803L · 25,458 open
Win Return (30d)
68%
37,559W / 17,618L · 39 open
Trades (30d)
55,216
across 1,112 markets · ~50 per market
EV / position
−$4.34
avg win $82 · loss $102
Profit Factor
0.91
$44,843 won / $49,305 lost
Reward / Risk
0.81
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,859
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $184,120 · all-time $4,658,696

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 60.3% 17,955W/11,803L 1112 $754,266
⚽ Sports 45.7% 553W/658L 328 $157,148
🏛 Politics 10.4% 29W/250L 28 $32,389
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/150L 5 $23,493

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

111 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? No 45,500 1.000 $45,477.25 $204.75 +0.5%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 66,288 0.540 $35,828.66 $8,462.39 +30.9%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 23,318 0.985 $22,956.57 $358.37 +1.6%
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? No 22,000 1.000 $21,989.00 $99.00 +0.5%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 17,366 0.926 $16,089.60 $474.65 +3.0%
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? No 10,131 0.991 $10,035.09 $202.11 +2.1%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 7,724 0.987 $7,619.73 $91.08 +1.2%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 5,971 0.968 $5,776.94 $2,342.17 +68.2%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 5,507 0.786 $4,331.26 $519.74 +13.6%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? No 4,077 0.989 $4,030.11 $-2.28 -0.1%
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No 4,614 0.780 $3,598.92 $-76.70 -2.1%
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? No 3,109 0.966 $3,003.29 $35.09 +1.2%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 2,862 0.992 $2,839.10 $268.21 +10.4%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 28,235 0.095 $2,668.21 $-348.28 -11.5%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 5,259 0.365 $1,919.54 $1,025.59 +114.7%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 2,675 0.643 $1,721.36 $-646.44 -27.3%
Will Mark Lynch be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No 1,477 1.000 $1,476.06 $23.18 +1.6%
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? Yes 2,343 0.500 $1,171.50 $106.65 +10.0%
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? No 859 0.928 $797.58 $-0.93 -0.1%
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? No 758 0.895 $678.41 $61.45 +10.0%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 3,899 0.166 $645.28 $388.83 +151.6%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? No 622 0.987 $613.60 $1.87 +0.3%
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series? No 655 0.929 $608.76 $-10.60 -1.7%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? No 589 0.950 $559.55 $-3.34 -0.6%
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? Yes 5,003 0.105 $525.31 $-444.71 -45.8%