PnL (30d)

+$229

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$76

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+9.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

81%

25W / 6L · 46 open

Win Return (30d)

55%

42W / 35L

Trades (30d)

77

across 16 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$32.68

avg win $76 · loss $25

Profit Factor

4.05

$304 won / $75 lost

Reward / Risk

3.04

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$0

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	80.6% 25W/6L	16	$3,913
₿ Crypto	100.0% 1W/0L	3	$1,061
💵 Economy	100.0% 1W/0L	3	$1,061

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	2,142	0.752	$1,610.78	$-207.79	-11.4%
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	3,514	0.290	$1,019.16	$-1,550.81	-60.3%
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	875	0.485	$424.54	$26.70	+6.7%
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	507	0.825	$417.96	$68.39	+19.6%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	192	0.925	$177.60	$77.76	+77.9%
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	159	0.677	$107.51	$20.51	+23.6%
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	549	0.165	$90.53	$13.72	+17.9%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	No	185	0.285	$52.69	$-47.18	-47.2%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	No	213	0.145	$30.89	$-69.22	-69.1%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	Yes	400	0.043	$17.16	$-82.84	-82.8%