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Trader

0xca52446eaad30e546f344849ae1afd92eb360cdf
PnL (30d)
−$58
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$93
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-16.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
12%
1W / 7L · 6 open
Win Return (30d)
7%
1W / 13L
Trades (30d)
14
across 9 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$8.31
avg win $5 · loss $11
Profit Factor
0.09
$5 won / $64 lost
Reward / Risk
0.51
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $407,775

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 12.5% 1W/7L 9 $354
🤖 Tech 1 $48

Open positions

19 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes 960 0.895 $859.49 $351.41 +69.2%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes 535 0.655 $350.51 $-49.29 -12.3%
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? Yes 318 0.330 $104.98 $-109.36 -51.0%
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes 177 0.565 $99.89 $-45.11 -31.1%
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No 100 0.835 $83.50 $34.50 +70.4%
Trump out as President before GTA VI? No 125 0.500 $62.50 $2.50 +4.2%
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? Yes 371 0.082 $30.43 $-65.57 -68.3%
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 269 0.064 $17.08 $-9.92 -36.7%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 333 0.050 $16.50 $3.50 +26.9%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 100 0.146 $14.65 $10.65 +266.2%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 541 0.024 $12.99 $4.39 +51.1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 702 0.013 $9.48 $1.48 +18.5%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 321 0.025 $8.15 $-1.49 -15.4%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 10 0.615 $6.15 $0.15 +2.5%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes 91 0.065 $5.89 $-39.79 -87.1%
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Yes 247 0.024 $5.80 $-31.20 -84.3%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes 295 0.011 $3.09 $-2.91 -48.4%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 50 0.040 $1.98 $-0.02 -1.2%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 476 0.004 $1.67 $-8.33 -83.3%