| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
1,084 |
0.845 |
$915.79 |
$62.32 |
+7.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
760 |
0.825 |
$627.35 |
$-19.73 |
-3.0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
447 |
0.935 |
$418.23 |
$14.17 |
+3.5% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
477 |
0.745 |
$355.22 |
$56.27 |
+18.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
352 |
0.815 |
$286.63 |
$93.65 |
+48.5% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
259 |
0.905 |
$234.60 |
$39.39 |
+20.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
222 |
0.835 |
$185.39 |
$86.24 |
+87.0% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
215 |
0.852 |
$182.76 |
$8.38 |
+4.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
459 |
0.380 |
$174.56 |
$-9.51 |
-5.2% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
148 |
0.845 |
$125.25 |
$18.46 |
+17.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
131 |
0.905 |
$118.80 |
$13.15 |
+12.4% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
160 |
0.685 |
$109.27 |
$-1.60 |
-1.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
97 |
1.000 |
$96.57 |
$27.57 |
+40.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
64 |
0.905 |
$58.24 |
$6.86 |
+13.4% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
59 |
0.895 |
$52.89 |
$12.08 |
+29.6% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
67 |
0.675 |
$45.25 |
$5.59 |
+14.1% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
40 |
0.905 |
$36.20 |
$5.00 |
+16.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
29 |
0.999 |
$28.97 |
$11.56 |
+66.4% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? |
No |
27 |
0.890 |
$24.29 |
$3.66 |
+17.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
38 |
0.455 |
$17.10 |
$0.39 |
+2.3% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? |
Yes |
9 |
0.690 |
$6.18 |
$-0.00 |
-0.0% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.835 |
$4.18 |
$1.48 |
+54.6% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? |
No |
6 |
0.710 |
$4.08 |
$1.78 |
+77.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.573 |
$1.42 |
$-0.06 |
-4.2% |