keribit
0xc9dcc3d90ad3e34fe4132eb8661ae728d6da9026
PnL (30d)
+$1,037
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$735
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
93%
271W / 19L · 506 open
Win Return (30d)
93%
744W / 52L
Trades (30d)
796
across 16 markets · ~50 per market
EV / position
+$129.64
avg win $159 · loss $75
Profit Factor
14.89
$1,112 won / $75 lost
Reward / Risk
2.13
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$57
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $35,782 · all-time $9,635,950
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
100,000 |
0.963 |
$96,250.03 |
$7,159.10 |
+8.0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
50,000 |
0.945 |
$47,249.97 |
$550.55 |
+1.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
25,000 |
0.968 |
$24,187.50 |
$-3.45 |
-0.0% |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? |
No |
21,805 |
0.945 |
$20,605.51 |
$522.94 |
+2.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? |
No |
18,975 |
0.971 |
$18,415.07 |
$802.60 |
+4.6% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
15,000 |
0.925 |
$13,875.01 |
$375.12 |
+2.8% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? |
No |
10,000 |
0.991 |
$9,905.00 |
$30.01 |
+0.3% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
9,000 |
0.977 |
$8,788.16 |
$435.36 |
+5.2% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
5,000 |
0.957 |
$4,785.00 |
$5.00 |
+0.1% |