PnL (30d)

+$120

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$9

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+76.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

69%

20W / 9L · 7 open

Win Return (30d)

58%

21W / 15L

Trades (30d)

36

across 14 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$13.34

avg win $22 · loss $4

Profit Factor

11.04

$132 won / $12 lost

Reward / Risk

5.52

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	72.1% 297W/115L	52	$3,405
⚽ Sports	—	1	$4
🏛 Politics	—	1	$0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?	Yes	2,100	0.021	$43.05	$-29.54	-40.7%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	Yes	1,100	0.038	$41.80	$-12.20	-22.6%
Israel military action against Yemen by August 31?	Yes	503	0.055	$27.68	$-2.45	-8.1%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	125	0.115	$14.38	$-1.12	-7.3%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	Yes	500	0.024	$12.00	$-1.00	-7.7%
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	Yes	658	0.016	$10.54	$-10.71	-50.4%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?	Yes	103	0.038	$3.95	$-1.18	-23.0%
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.001	$2.50	$-2.50	-50.0%
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.001	$2.50	$-2.50	-50.0%
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	5,000	0.001	$2.50	$-2.50	-50.0%
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	Yes	2	0.013	$0.02	$0.01	+148.8%