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Trader leaderboard/0xC9aF414fC65a46dEb62AF26F75799bFAF53F91e5-1779763576505

0xC9aF414fC65a46dEb62AF26F75799bFAF53F91e5-1779763576505

0xc9af414fc65a46deb62af26f75799bfaf53f91e5
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
1W / 1L · 12 open
Win Return (30d)
62%
8W / 5L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
14
across 12 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$1.05
avg win $1 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.37
$1 won / $3 lost
Reward / Risk
0.37
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3 · all-time $21,528

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 66.7% 2W/1L 20 $49
🏛 Politics 1 $2

Open positions

59 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Georgia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No 10 0.941 $9.41 $-0.13 -1.4%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? No 5 0.695 $3.47 $0.07 +2.2%
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? No 10 0.320 $3.20 $0.10 +3.2%
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes 5 0.555 $2.77 $0.32 +13.3%
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? Yes 10 0.265 $2.65 $-0.25 -8.6%
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes 5 0.480 $2.40 $0.10 +4.3%
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes 10 0.203 $2.03 $-3.20 -61.2%
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? No 5 0.390 $1.95 $-0.45 -18.8%
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes 5 0.385 $1.93 $-0.47 -19.8%
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No 5 0.330 $1.65 $0.00 +0.0%
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? Yes 5 0.325 $1.62 $-1.27 -44.0%
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? Yes 10 0.160 $1.60 $-0.10 -5.9%
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 2 0.850 $1.53 $0.74 +92.9%
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No 2 0.895 $1.51 $0.44 +40.6%
Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? No 2 0.640 $1.48 $0.19 +14.3%
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat? Yes 5 0.280 $1.40 $0.05 +3.7%
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes 3 0.415 $1.29 $-0.11 -7.8%
Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder? Yes 5 0.255 $1.27 $0.27 +27.5%
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06? No 5 0.235 $1.17 $-0.18 -13.0%
Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited? Yes 10 0.115 $1.15 $-0.46 -28.6%
Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2027? No 5 0.230 $1.15 $-1.10 -48.9%
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No 3 0.400 $1.13 $0.31 +37.9%
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes 5 0.225 $1.12 $-1.88 -62.5%
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 5 0.225 $1.12 $-1.42 -55.9%
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes 2 0.515 $1.07 $-0.01 -1.0%