| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
3,200 |
0.935 |
$2,991.97 |
$509.02 |
+20.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
3,100 |
0.845 |
$2,619.50 |
$284.50 |
+12.2% |
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? |
No |
1,809 |
0.865 |
$1,564.36 |
$320.47 |
+25.8% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
1,202 |
0.945 |
$1,135.87 |
$35.39 |
+3.2% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,100 |
0.920 |
$1,012.00 |
$175.00 |
+20.9% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,400 |
0.675 |
$945.00 |
$88.01 |
+10.3% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
1,087 |
0.855 |
$929.09 |
$74.10 |
+8.7% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
900 |
0.905 |
$814.50 |
$141.50 |
+21.0% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
700 |
0.915 |
$640.50 |
$38.50 |
+6.4% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
700 |
0.905 |
$633.50 |
$24.50 |
+4.0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
600 |
0.885 |
$531.00 |
$139.00 |
+35.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
500 |
0.885 |
$442.50 |
$72.50 |
+19.6% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.850 |
$424.75 |
$6.25 |
+1.5% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.117 |
$349.50 |
$-220.50 |
-38.7% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
400 |
0.835 |
$334.00 |
$-22.00 |
-6.2% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
400 |
0.823 |
$329.19 |
$31.60 |
+10.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
500 |
0.625 |
$312.50 |
$-2.50 |
-0.8% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.931 |
$279.30 |
$-3.30 |
-1.2% |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? |
No |
250 |
0.920 |
$230.00 |
$92.50 |
+67.3% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
Yes |
525 |
0.075 |
$39.38 |
$-29.35 |
-42.7% |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.270 |
$27.00 |
$-30.00 |
-52.6% |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? |
No |
17 |
0.875 |
$15.21 |
$0.61 |
+4.2% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
9 |
0.963 |
$8.81 |
$1.00 |
+12.8% |