PnL (30d)

−$90

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$86

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-9.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

56%

59W / 47L · 27 open

Win Return (30d)

55%

73W / 60L

Trades (30d)

133

across 14 markets · ~10 per market

EV / position

−$11.20

avg win $31 · loss $81

Profit Factor

0.63

$154 won / $243 lost

Reward / Risk

0.38

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$213

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	65.4% 174W/92L	38	$4,759
🏛 Politics	37.5% 24W/40L	10	$839
🎬 Culture	37.5% 24W/40L	9	$816

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	1,206	0.125	$150.75	$4.26	+2.9%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	100	0.075	$7.50	$-8.50	-53.1%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	207	0.018	$3.63	$-24.23	-87.0%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$-8.50	-85.0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	200	0.006	$1.30	$-27.70	-95.5%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	500	0.003	$1.25	$-21.83	-94.6%