anotherpatrick
0xc984e539bdd2699e2a0a28bcd995aaf439c337ca
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$7,603
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,245
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-41.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
32%
36W / 75L · 43 open
Win Return (30d)
39%
60W / 94L
Trades (30d)
154
across 10 markets · ~15 per market
EV / position
−$1,267.09
avg win $39 · loss $1,920
Profit Factor
0.01
$78 won / $7,681 lost
Reward / Risk
0.02
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $729,401
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
38.3%
127W/205L
|
27 |
$68,004 |
|
🏛 Politics
|
0.0%
0W/15L
|
2 |
$4,024 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? |
No |
16,282 |
0.815 |
$13,267.86 |
$-100.15 |
-0.7% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
8,651 |
0.455 |
$3,936.16 |
$-733.83 |
-15.7% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? |
No |
5,551 |
0.440 |
$2,442.60 |
$1,334.84 |
+120.5% |
| Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? |
Yes |
1,045 |
0.979 |
$1,023.52 |
$22.61 |
+2.3% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? |
No |
4,761 |
0.210 |
$999.83 |
$577.81 |
+136.9% |