NeoSay10
0xc9751b5f25e1ecd88ec4630d19422b58d0562c68
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$5
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$104
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
52%
11W / 10L · 16 open
Win Return (30d)
68%
25W / 12L
Trades (30d)
37
across 19 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.35
avg win $2 · loss $1
Profit Factor
2.10
$9 won / $4 lost
Reward / Risk
2.80
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $1,462,074
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
8,000 |
0.790 |
$6,324.00 |
$2,324.00 |
+58.1% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
3,177 |
0.954 |
$3,029.27 |
$29.19 |
+1.0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
No |
2,586 |
0.986 |
$2,548.15 |
$44.62 |
+1.8% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.935 |
$1,870.00 |
$90.00 |
+5.1% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
1,900 |
0.886 |
$1,684.35 |
$185.25 |
+12.4% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
8,000 |
0.209 |
$1,676.00 |
$-2,324.00 |
-58.1% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,215 |
0.850 |
$1,032.13 |
$33.41 |
+3.3% |
| Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? |
Yes |
232 |
0.900 |
$209.18 |
$48.41 |
+30.1% |
| Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections? |
Yes |
35 |
0.785 |
$27.57 |
$8.87 |
+47.4% |
| Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31? |
Yes |
125 |
0.013 |
$1.69 |
$-61.46 |
-97.3% |