PnL (30d)

+$245

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$497

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+3.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

2W / 2L · 94 open

Win Return (30d)

72%

71W / 27L

Trades (30d)

98

across 19 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$122.51

avg win $252 · loss $7

Profit Factor

36.00

$252 won / $7 lost

Reward / Risk

36.00

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	15.1% 11W/62L	30	$22,594
🏛 Politics	—	6	$2,059
₿ Crypto	—	1	$406
💵 Economy	—	1	$406

Open positions

31 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	9,390	0.740	$6,948.75	$1,915.63	+38.1%
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?	Yes	2,572	0.735	$1,890.34	$479.09	+33.9%
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	4,211	0.230	$968.55	$56.94	+6.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	21,991	0.036	$802.67	$-5,646.44	-87.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	11,708	0.045	$526.85	$-3,801.90	-87.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	7,674	0.055	$422.08	$-3,711.90	-89.8%
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.415	$415.00	$12.50	+3.1%
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	2,307	0.100	$230.71	$-1,425.29	-86.1%
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	955	0.200	$191.00	$16.60	+9.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	7,951	0.024	$190.81	$-2,176.00	-91.9%
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	297	0.560	$166.26	$9.38	+6.0%
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	5,145	0.029	$149.21	$-874.91	-85.4%
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	3,750	0.035	$132.76	$-606.79	-82.0%
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,666	0.065	$108.27	$-652.50	-85.8%
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	2,270	0.043	$96.47	$-565.42	-85.4%
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	251	0.375	$94.23	$6.42	+7.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	3,099	0.025	$75.93	$-846.62	-91.8%
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?	Yes	129	0.555	$71.59	$18.70	+35.4%
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?	Yes	250	0.255	$63.75	$28.75	+82.1%
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,035	0.055	$56.92	$-276.02	-82.9%
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?	Yes	180	0.235	$42.30	$-36.90	-46.6%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	45	0.915	$41.30	$7.30	+21.5%
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.029	$29.00	$-241.00	-89.3%
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.017	$16.50	$-13.50	-45.0%
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?	Yes	25	0.615	$15.38	$4.88	+46.4%