PnL (30d)

−$14

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$0

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-13.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

26%

38W / 108L · 9 open

Win Return (30d)

25%

38W / 115L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

155

across 40 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$0.37

avg win $1 · loss $1

Profit Factor

0.30

$6 won / $20 lost

Reward / Risk

0.72

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$11

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	26.0% 38W/108L	40	$182
🌤 Weather	0.0% 0W/9L	4	$13

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.410	$2.05	$0.35	+20.6%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.370	$1.85	$0.30	+19.4%