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Trader

0xc88adcf407a63baa2e470998c24f6fc0d1867e26
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-15.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
62%
53W / 32L · 17 open
Win Return (30d)
62%
56W / 35L · 11 open
Trades (30d)
102
across 41 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.05
avg win $0 · loss $0
Profit Factor
0.60
$2 won / $4 lost
Reward / Risk
0.82
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $13,726 · all-time $2,891,572

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 38.9% 674W/1,059L 800 $820
⚽ Sports 20.4% 71W/277L 209 $189
🌤 Weather 62.8% 27W/16L 21 $13
₿ Crypto 31.6% 6W/13L 14 $7
💵 Economy 55.0% 11W/9L 13 $11
🎬 Culture 42.1% 8W/11L 9 $22
🏛 Politics 100.0% 8W/0L 7 $24
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/11L 6 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

37 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Helsingborgs IF vs. Nordic United FC: Nordic United FC O/U 4.5 Corners Over 56 0.495 $27.50 $26.94 +4850.0%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: Team to Take First Corner Daejeon Hana Citizen FC 51 0.499 $25.47 $24.96 +4895.0%
Deportivo Maldonado vs. CA Juventud de Las Piedras: O/U 2.5 Under 45 0.495 $22.10 $21.65 +4850.0%
Helsingborgs IF vs. Nordic United FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Under 22 0.490 $11.00 $10.55 +2350.0%
Deportivo Maldonado vs. CA Juventud de Las Piedras: O/U 3.5 Under 12 0.499 $6.22 $6.20 +27634.0%
IK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna: O/U 0.5 Under 43 0.113 $4.84 $3.12 +181.2%
Exact Score: Kuopion Palloseura 0 - 3 Turun Palloseura? Yes 7 0.255 $1.78 $1.70 +2213.6%
Will Shelbourne qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? Yes 3 0.500 $1.61 $1.55 +2399.9%
Will Dila qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? Yes 3 0.500 $1.61 $1.55 +2399.9%
Will Spartak Trnava qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? Yes 3 0.500 $1.61 $1.55 +2399.9%
Will Floriana qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? Yes 3 0.500 $1.61 $1.55 +2399.9%
Will Vardar qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? Yes 3 0.500 $1.61 $1.55 +2399.9%
Real Salt Lake vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 0.5 Under 14 0.083 $1.16 $0.25 +27.7%
AFC Bournemouth vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Under 2 0.500 $1.02 $0.96 +1566.7%
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? Yes 6 0.160 $0.89 $0.55 +166.7%
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka Afghanistan 1 0.505 $0.70 $0.47 +197.0%
Will Dusan Vlahovic join Chelsea? Yes 3 0.245 $0.62 $0.57 +1124.8%
Honor of Kings: SYGaming vs Kuaishou Gaming (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 3 Group A SYGaming 2 0.305 $0.59 $0.52 +662.4%
Will Dusan Vlahovic join AC Milan? Yes 20 0.029 $0.57 $0.35 +161.4%
Will Polissya Zhytomyr qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? Yes 39 0.015 $0.57 $-0.22 -27.5%
RCD Mallorca vs. Paris Saint-Germain: O/U 0.5 Under 17 0.028 $0.46 $-0.04 -8.3%
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,400 on August 9? Yes 25 0.007 $0.19 $0.04 +31.4%
Will USD/CAD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026? Yes 5 0.036 $0.17 $0.03 +19.8%
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 6? Yes 5 0.034 $0.16 $0.08 +86.0%
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs UB Alma Mater (+1.5) UB Alma Mater 2 0.065 $0.14 $-0.03 -18.7%