Trader
0xc86eef6954a9d8beecaa5099ec1ede338bb15632
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$372
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-4.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
85%
92W / 16L
Win Return (30d)
85%
92W / 16L
Trades (30d)
108
across 36 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$10.35
avg win $9 · loss $55
Profit Factor
0.38
$233 won / $605 lost
Reward / Risk
0.17
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$214
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,611 · all-time $180,135
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.983 |
$294.89 |
$2.05 |
+0.7% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 7? |
No |
300 |
0.970 |
$290.85 |
$2.25 |
+0.8% |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
Yes |
171 |
0.650 |
$111.42 |
$1.71 |
+1.6% |