| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
4,340 |
0.830 |
$3,601.79 |
$127.17 |
+3.7% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
973 |
0.925 |
$900.34 |
$42.30 |
+4.9% |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? |
No |
891 |
0.875 |
$779.34 |
$63.41 |
+8.9% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
568 |
0.945 |
$536.34 |
$63.53 |
+13.4% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? |
No |
255 |
0.855 |
$218.02 |
$12.02 |
+5.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
232 |
0.905 |
$209.96 |
$24.36 |
+13.1% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
221 |
0.935 |
$206.40 |
$14.44 |
+7.5% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
141 |
0.835 |
$117.60 |
$7.21 |
+6.5% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
93 |
0.977 |
$90.37 |
$4.92 |
+5.8% |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? |
No |
56 |
0.715 |
$40.32 |
$0.83 |
+2.1% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
Yes |
155 |
0.125 |
$19.41 |
$-5.59 |
-22.4% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
3 |
0.615 |
$2.01 |
$0.01 |
+0.4% |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
69 |
0.018 |
$1.28 |
$-3.72 |
-74.3% |