| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
350 |
0.675 |
$235.93 |
$4.59 |
+2.0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
377 |
0.185 |
$69.75 |
$-41.75 |
-37.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
157 |
0.350 |
$55.01 |
$-12.99 |
-19.1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
96 |
0.325 |
$31.25 |
$-11.75 |
-27.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
104 |
0.115 |
$11.90 |
$-6.68 |
-36.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
41 |
0.225 |
$9.18 |
$-0.82 |
-8.2% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
Yes |
391 |
0.019 |
$7.62 |
$-2.19 |
-22.3% |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
102 |
0.060 |
$6.13 |
$-4.24 |
-40.9% |
| Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? |
Yes |
86 |
0.037 |
$3.20 |
$-3.05 |
-48.9% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
Yes |
12 |
0.145 |
$1.81 |
$-0.19 |
-9.4% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
3 |
0.215 |
$0.58 |
$-0.42 |
-41.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
5 |
0.100 |
$0.53 |
$-0.47 |
-47.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
No |
8 |
0.055 |
$0.46 |
$-0.54 |
-54.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
No |
250 |
0.002 |
$0.38 |
$-0.62 |
-62.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
No |
500 |
0.001 |
$0.25 |
$-0.75 |
-75.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
No |
78 |
0.002 |
$0.12 |
$-0.88 |
-88.2% |