| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
58 |
0.945 |
$54.95 |
$6.40 |
+13.2% |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? |
No |
24 |
0.975 |
$23.31 |
$2.25 |
+10.7% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
19 |
0.970 |
$18.55 |
$2.00 |
+12.1% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
23 |
0.715 |
$16.71 |
$2.23 |
+15.4% |
| SBF released from custody in 2026? |
No |
14 |
0.957 |
$13.23 |
$0.92 |
+7.5% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
10 |
0.949 |
$9.51 |
$0.80 |
+9.2% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? |
No |
10 |
0.765 |
$7.50 |
$-0.24 |
-3.2% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
10 |
0.735 |
$7.08 |
$1.40 |
+24.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
19 |
0.350 |
$6.67 |
$-2.08 |
-23.8% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
9 |
0.680 |
$6.38 |
$-0.13 |
-1.9% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.963 |
$5.14 |
$0.39 |
+8.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.542 |
$3.77 |
$-0.28 |
-6.9% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? |
No |
4 |
0.955 |
$3.54 |
$0.17 |
+4.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
21 |
0.165 |
$3.53 |
$0.96 |
+37.5% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? |
Yes |
14 |
0.235 |
$3.26 |
$0.01 |
+0.3% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? |
Yes |
26 |
0.125 |
$3.25 |
$-0.91 |
-21.9% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
5 |
0.625 |
$3.13 |
$-0.06 |
-1.7% |
| Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.940 |
$3.08 |
$0.38 |
+14.1% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
3 |
0.945 |
$2.65 |
$0.45 |
+20.4% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
6 |
0.465 |
$2.59 |
$-0.36 |
-12.3% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.885 |
$1.97 |
$0.59 |
+42.7% |
| Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.750 |
$1.96 |
$-0.04 |
-2.2% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
16 |
0.117 |
$1.85 |
$-0.06 |
-2.9% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.955 |
$1.77 |
$0.10 |
+6.1% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
2 |
0.830 |
$1.60 |
$0.12 |
+7.8% |