0xrandd8
0xc722c1a1a0bfddf4e0edb3286f7ebce127221334
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$10
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$119
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
14W / 14L · 254 open
Win Return (30d)
91%
253W / 26L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
282
across 12 markets · ~24 per market
EV / position
−$2.55
avg win $4 · loss $9
Profit Factor
0.44
$8 won / $18 lost
Reward / Risk
0.44
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $117,372 · all-time $5,900,671
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.135 |
$1,350.00 |
$-403.29 |
-23.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
1,783 |
0.295 |
$525.84 |
$-10.40 |
-1.9% |
| Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? |
Yes |
10,020 |
0.019 |
$195.39 |
$54.80 |
+39.0% |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.133 |
$132.50 |
$-10.50 |
-7.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
500 |
0.195 |
$97.50 |
$-2.50 |
-2.5% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? |
No |
130 |
0.145 |
$18.81 |
$2.88 |
+18.1% |