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Trader

0xc6fd8b51924453648903723887c808aef39453df
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$81
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-18.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
17%
5W / 25L · 86 open
Win Return (30d)
14%
8W / 48L · 60 open
Trades (30d)
116
across 30 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$6.26
avg win $1 · loss $8
Profit Factor
0.02
$2 won / $83 lost
Reward / Risk
0.07
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$12
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $11,530 · all-time $1,233,481

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 35.6% 1,578W/2,853L 1637 $55,142
⚽ Sports 45.6% 83W/99L 135 $2,738
🌤 Weather 49.2% 30W/31L 28 $179
💵 Economy 12.5% 2W/14L 15 $88
🏛 Politics 18.2% 2W/9L 12 $82
🎬 Culture 40.0% 2W/3L 7 $89
₿ Crypto 20.0% 1W/4L 5 $13
🤖 Tech 5 $55

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

47 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? Yes 345 0.395 $136.21 $36.21 +36.2%
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 189 0.500 $94.61 $-1.89 -2.0%
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? No 81 0.500 $40.53 $-0.19 -0.5%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 36 0.981 $35.11 $-0.01 -0.0%
Trump out as President before GTA VI? No 63 0.500 $31.26 $-0.57 -1.8%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes 1,500 0.019 $29.25 $-0.75 -2.5%
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 476 0.043 $20.24 $0.24 +1.2%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 500 0.040 $19.75 $-0.25 -1.2%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 20 0.745 $14.91 $3.65 +32.5%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 667 0.015 $10.33 $-0.67 -6.1%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 52 0.189 $9.85 $-1.92 -16.3%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 769 0.013 $9.62 $-0.38 -3.8%
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 5? Up 12 0.670 $8.12 $1.21 +17.5%
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? No 54 0.125 $6.73 $-0.27 -3.8%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 10 0.615 $5.92 $0.42 +7.6%
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No 43 0.135 $5.79 $-0.21 -3.6%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes 208 0.028 $5.73 $0.73 +14.6%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 7 0.786 $5.52 $0.52 +10.5%
Will Bodø/Glimt win Norway Eliteserien? No 14 0.375 $5.21 $-0.79 -13.2%
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No 10 0.500 $5.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? Yes 133 0.036 $4.86 $-13.78 -73.9%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 4? Yes 4 1.000 $4.44 $2.44 +122.2%
Will Dee Valladares win Big Brother season 28? No 6 0.735 $4.37 $-0.62 -12.5%
Will Viking win Norway Eliteserien? Yes 12 0.305 $3.81 $-1.19 -23.8%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes 55 0.059 $3.19 $0.19 +6.4%