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Trader leaderboard/Rawdy

Rawdy

0xc6fa9a0058f324cf4d33e7ddd4f0b957e5d551e5
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$128
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-25.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
43%
40W / 54L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
43%
42W / 56L
Trades (30d)
98
across 45 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$3.06
avg win $7 · loss $13
Profit Factor
0.53
$142 won / $271 lost
Reward / Risk
0.53
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$127
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $906 · all-time $1,771,342

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 40.2% 47W/70L 75 $771
⚽ Sports 39.1% 25W/39L 21 $372
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/1L 7 $81
💵 Economy 3 $22
₿ Crypto 1 $11
🎬 Culture 1 $19

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

45 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 202 0.460 $92.82 $17.88 +23.9%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 33 0.625 $20.81 $1.50 +7.8%
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026? No 20 0.999 $19.97 $0.07 +0.4%
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No 20 0.999 $19.97 $-0.01 -0.1%
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 20 0.998 $19.95 $0.03 +0.2%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No 20 0.985 $19.69 $0.25 +1.3%
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No 13 0.915 $11.89 $0.50 +4.4%
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves 19 0.545 $10.49 $-1.06 -9.2%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 10 1.000 $9.99 $0.02 +0.2%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 10 1.000 $9.99 $0.02 +0.2%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 10 1.000 $9.99 $0.02 +0.2%
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? No 19 0.500 $9.30 $-0.93 -9.1%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 19 0.470 $9.11 $-0.94 -9.4%
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No 30 0.270 $8.10 $0.30 +3.8%
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%? No 7 1.000 $7.00 $2.45 +53.8%
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? No 9 0.715 $6.43 $0.16 +2.6%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more? No 7 0.785 $5.50 $0.88 +18.9%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 8 0.680 $5.44 $0.88 +19.3%
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Over 10 0.515 $5.05 $-0.05 -1.0%
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? No 5 1.000 $5.00 $0.20 +4.1%
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 5–10%? No 5 0.986 $4.93 $0.33 +7.2%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 5 0.971 $4.85 $0.11 +2.4%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 4 0.911 $4.10 $-0.14 -3.3%
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 4 0.945 $3.78 $0.45 +13.7%
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers Samsung Lions 7 0.486 $3.40 $-0.66 -16.2%