| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
121,949 |
0.865 |
$105,486.06 |
$-305.97 |
-0.3% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
91,397 |
0.987 |
$90,163.11 |
$3,802.94 |
+4.4% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
38,647 |
1.000 |
$38,627.58 |
$5,025.53 |
+15.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
37,659 |
0.976 |
$36,736.09 |
$5,479.35 |
+17.5% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
33,933 |
0.987 |
$33,474.67 |
$1,933.83 |
+6.1% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
33,489 |
1.000 |
$33,472.39 |
$847.34 |
+2.6% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
33,367 |
1.000 |
$33,349.98 |
$4,654.65 |
+16.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
23,898 |
0.962 |
$22,989.91 |
$3,999.46 |
+21.1% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
14,946 |
1.000 |
$14,938.64 |
$388.84 |
+2.7% |
| Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? |
No |
4,722 |
0.981 |
$4,629.92 |
$424.84 |
+10.1% |
| Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? |
No |
4,111 |
0.915 |
$3,761.85 |
$96.69 |
+2.6% |
| Anduril IPO before 2027? |
No |
3,675 |
0.915 |
$3,362.21 |
$138.23 |
+4.3% |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? |
Yes |
3,594 |
0.850 |
$3,055.12 |
$-105.65 |
-3.3% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? |
No |
3,465 |
0.655 |
$2,269.34 |
$-529.51 |
-18.9% |
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? |
No |
2,137 |
0.895 |
$1,912.84 |
$96.33 |
+5.3% |
| Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? |
No |
1,580 |
0.969 |
$1,530.74 |
$116.59 |
+8.2% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
1,263 |
0.952 |
$1,202.08 |
$102.96 |
+9.4% |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? |
No |
676 |
0.735 |
$496.69 |
$10.90 |
+2.2% |
| Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? |
No |
221 |
0.887 |
$195.95 |
$-6.19 |
-3.1% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
896 |
0.210 |
$188.08 |
$-345.97 |
-64.8% |
| Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
No |
183 |
0.930 |
$170.51 |
$46.35 |
+37.3% |
| Will JUUL relaunch Mango flavor by 2027? |
No |
117 |
0.555 |
$65.16 |
$-39.21 |
-37.6% |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? |
Yes |
146 |
0.066 |
$9.64 |
$-40.00 |
-80.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.325 |
$0.81 |
$-0.19 |
-18.8% |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
Yes |
5 |
0.085 |
$0.42 |
$-2.17 |
-83.7% |