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Trader leaderboard/trader-c6777f27

trader-c6777f27

0xc6777f27f1829916c5fabdd97662c79d6d77677a
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$70
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-14.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
30%
104W / 247L · 30 open
Win Return (30d)
32%
118W / 251L · 12 open
Trades (30d)
381
across 121 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.67
avg win $3 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.59
$101 won / $170 lost
Reward / Risk
1.12
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$34
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,973 · all-time $219,483

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 32.9% 264W/539L 370 $1,628
🎬 Culture 29.0% 31W/76L 51 $238
🏛 Politics 27.9% 31W/80L 44 $224
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/1L 6 $8
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/6L 4 $39
⚽ Sports 2 $37

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

72 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k? Yes 15 0.690 $10.35 $3.28 +46.5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No 10 0.955 $9.55 $0.90 +10.4%
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? No 15 0.595 $8.92 $0.32 +3.8%
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? No 15 0.570 $8.69 $-1.22 -12.3%
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No 10 0.855 $8.55 $0.25 +3.0%
Will MrBeast say "Contestant" during his next YouTube video? Yes 10 0.855 $8.54 $3.15 +58.3%
Will Donald Trump's tie be another color? Yes 33 0.245 $8.02 $1.02 +14.5%
Will Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 10 0.775 $7.75 $0.25 +3.3%
Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 8 0.680 $5.77 $0.76 +15.3%
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? Yes 9 0.615 $5.68 $0.97 +20.6%
Will Donald Trump's tie be blue? Yes 58 0.095 $5.54 $0.54 +10.8%
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? No 5 0.979 $4.89 $0.84 +20.8%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k? Yes 15 0.320 $4.80 $-4.15 -46.4%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? No 5 0.935 $4.67 $0.17 +3.9%
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? Yes 5 0.935 $4.67 $0.17 +3.9%
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026? No 5 0.925 $4.63 $0.15 +3.4%
ECB rate cut in 2026? No 5 0.910 $4.55 $0.35 +8.3%
Will Team Liquid make a roster change before September? No 5 0.855 $4.28 $0.62 +17.1%
Will Leavitt say "World Cup" during the next White House Press Briefing? No 5 0.815 $4.07 $0.72 +21.6%
Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 5 0.685 $3.42 $0.42 +14.2%
Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? No 5 0.645 $3.23 $0.38 +13.2%
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No 3 0.940 $3.00 $0.29 +10.6%
Will Trump say "Racist" or "Lebron James" during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 10 0.280 $2.80 $1.80 +180.0%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No 4 0.665 $2.71 $0.10 +3.7%
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 6 0.410 $2.58 $-0.63 -19.6%