PnL (30d)

−$20

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

79%

106W / 28L · 123 open

Win Return (30d)

64%

150W / 86L · 21 open

Trades (30d)

257

across 148 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.26

avg win $3 · loss $10

Profit Factor

0.89

$165 won / $185 lost

Reward / Risk

0.27

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	79.1% 106W/28L	148	$1,560
⚽ Sports	—	1	$0

Open positions

67 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Jim Chalmers be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?	Yes	20	0.148	$2.96	$1.78	+151.6%
Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	11	0.195	$2.15	$1.78	+485.0%
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	8	0.254	$2.03	$1.80	+763.6%
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	50	0.017	$0.82	$-9.18	-91.8%
Will Patrus Ananias win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	11	0.053	$0.58	$0.22	+59.0%
Will Colonel Busnello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	13	0.028	$0.35	$-0.21	-36.7%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	50	0.006	$0.30	$-9.70	-97.0%
Will TJ Rumfield win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	5	0.031	$0.16	$0.05	+42.5%
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	Yes	8	0.019	$0.16	$-0.09	-35.6%
Will Luiz França win the Governor of Paraná election?	Yes	10	0.013	$0.13	$-0.43	-76.6%
Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	5	0.022	$0.11	$-0.37	-77.5%
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	194	0.001	$0.10	$-2.52	-96.3%
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	194	0.001	$0.10	$-2.52	-96.3%
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	194	0.001	$0.10	$-2.52	-96.3%
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	194	0.001	$0.10	$-2.52	-96.3%
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	194	0.001	$0.10	$-2.52	-96.3%
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	194	0.001	$0.10	$-2.52	-96.3%
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	194	0.001	$0.10	$-2.52	-96.3%
Will Rafa Luz win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	13	0.006	$0.08	$-0.48	-85.0%
Will FW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	92	0.001	$0.05	$-3.80	-98.8%
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	91	0.001	$0.05	$-1.19	-96.3%
Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	Yes	8	0.005	$0.04	$-0.20	-81.8%
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	64	0.001	$0.03	$-2.61	-98.8%
Will Bruno Fernandes join Al-Hilal?	Yes	3	0.009	$0.03	$-0.12	-81.9%
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?	Yes	6	0.004	$0.03	$-0.12	-82.0%