CookeMonster
0xc614dc2c38eba2b0870b806b4371184ca875b14b
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$52
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$9
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+59.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
15%
4W / 22L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
21%
6W / 22L
Trades (30d)
28
across 20 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$2.91
avg win $36 · loss $4
Profit Factor
1.94
$108 won / $56 lost
Reward / Risk
9.72
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $316
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.425 |
$12.75 |
$7.05 |
+123.7% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.178 |
$8.92 |
$1.47 |
+19.8% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.165 |
$8.25 |
$1.75 |
+26.9% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.135 |
$6.75 |
$2.25 |
+50.0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.079 |
$3.95 |
$1.40 |
+54.9% |
| Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? |
Yes |
22 |
0.065 |
$1.43 |
$-0.57 |
-28.6% |
| Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? |
Yes |
6 |
0.164 |
$0.91 |
$-2.09 |
-69.6% |