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Trader leaderboard/Dr.PNL

Dr.PNL

0xc602e34792d9a5e129f3404daef2df43d1d37fc1
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$264
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$200
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
724W / 720L · 150 open
Win Return (30d)
47%
741W / 827L · 26 open
Trades (30d)
1,594
across 412 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$0.71
avg win $5 · loss $5
Profit Factor
0.75
$772 won / $1,036 lost
Reward / Risk
0.97
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$102
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $403,287 · all-time $19,546,916

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 31.7% 8,505W/18,359L 9814 $1,484,136
🏛 Politics 29.7% 112W/265L 709 $66,086
💵 Economy 27.4% 130W/344L 538 $54,063
₿ Crypto 26.0% 63W/179L 294 $21,568
🎬 Culture 31.1% 87W/193L 264 $18,932
⚽ Sports 6.9% 6W/81L 257 $28,777
🌤 Weather 41.8% 212W/295L 192 $6,864
🤖 Tech 3.4% 1W/28L 134 $15,942
🔬 Science 10 $1,761

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No 500 0.935 $467.50 $-2.50 -0.5%
Will the Edmonton Oilers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No 500 0.925 $462.49 $-2.50 -0.5%
Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No 500 0.905 $452.50 $-2.50 -0.5%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 500 0.905 $452.49 $8.15 +1.8%
Will John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election? No 472 0.953 $450.12 $18.04 +4.2%
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? No 500 0.899 $449.49 $-1.43 -0.3%
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes 500 0.895 $447.50 $2.50 +0.6%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No 500 0.872 $436.01 $-9.00 -2.0%
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? No 439 0.983 $431.20 $1.32 +0.3%
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? No 463 0.910 $421.11 $2.78 +0.7%
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No 474 0.870 $412.06 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the Vegas Golden Knights be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No 436 0.925 $403.15 $-2.18 -0.5%
Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No 462 0.865 $399.92 $-20.81 -4.9%
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No 410 0.895 $367.26 $14.36 +4.1%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 377 0.910 $342.69 $-0.97 -0.3%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31? Yes 378 0.905 $341.85 $0.42 +0.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat? No 407 0.840 $341.49 $-8.13 -2.3%
Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? No 406 0.840 $341.42 $-24.39 -6.7%
Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? No 428 0.795 $340.19 $-17.36 -4.9%
Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026? Yes 375 0.905 $339.72 $28.15 +9.0%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat? Yes 396 0.845 $334.46 $-3.59 -1.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-14 House seat? No 394 0.825 $325.06 $-9.85 -2.9%
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No 362 0.895 $324.26 $-1.68 -0.5%
Will the Republican Party win the MO-03 House seat? Yes 352 0.890 $312.92 $-3.52 -1.1%
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%? No 376 0.829 $311.91 $-10.73 -3.3%