| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
15 |
0.845 |
$12.67 |
$-0.42 |
-3.2% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
No |
10 |
0.875 |
$8.75 |
$0.55 |
+6.7% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.935 |
$4.67 |
$0.12 |
+2.7% |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.919 |
$4.60 |
$0.30 |
+6.9% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
5 |
0.905 |
$4.53 |
$0.17 |
+4.0% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.863 |
$4.31 |
$0.24 |
+6.0% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.858 |
$4.29 |
$0.19 |
+4.6% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
5 |
0.855 |
$4.28 |
$0.03 |
+0.6% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
5 |
0.655 |
$3.27 |
$0.72 |
+28.4% |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees |
Boston Red Sox |
6 |
0.530 |
$3.12 |
$0.12 |
+3.9% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? |
Yes |
28 |
0.110 |
$3.04 |
$-0.83 |
-21.4% |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
176 |
0.017 |
$2.98 |
$-7.02 |
-70.2% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
5 |
0.555 |
$2.77 |
$-0.03 |
-0.9% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
5 |
0.455 |
$2.27 |
$0.12 |
+5.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay |
Yes |
24 |
0.095 |
$2.23 |
$-1.65 |
-42.4% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
5 |
0.445 |
$2.23 |
$0.02 |
+1.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
5 |
0.445 |
$2.23 |
$0.02 |
+1.1% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
5 |
0.405 |
$2.19 |
$0.24 |
+12.5% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
7 |
0.261 |
$1.93 |
$-0.00 |
-0.2% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
5 |
0.265 |
$1.32 |
$-2.47 |
-65.1% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
12 |
0.095 |
$1.19 |
$-0.69 |
-36.7% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
Yes |
18 |
0.055 |
$1.00 |
$-0.82 |
-45.0% |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? |
Yes |
11 |
0.080 |
$0.89 |
$-1.00 |
-52.9% |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? |
Yes |
11 |
0.080 |
$0.89 |
$-1.00 |
-52.9% |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
22 |
0.035 |
$0.77 |
$-0.96 |
-55.6% |