| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
210 |
0.835 |
$175.65 |
$14.11 |
+8.7% |
| Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
111 |
0.974 |
$108.06 |
$8.25 |
+8.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
232 |
0.375 |
$87.00 |
$-34.68 |
-28.5% |
| Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? |
No |
80 |
0.910 |
$72.79 |
$-1.60 |
-2.2% |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
No |
103 |
0.615 |
$63.36 |
$-8.17 |
-11.4% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
70 |
0.675 |
$47.25 |
$3.05 |
+6.9% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.925 |
$46.25 |
$1.75 |
+3.9% |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? |
No |
64 |
0.715 |
$45.49 |
$4.01 |
+9.7% |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.740 |
$37.00 |
$10.50 |
+39.6% |
| Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
No |
50 |
0.700 |
$35.00 |
$-1.00 |
-2.8% |
| Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? |
Yes |
181 |
0.190 |
$34.39 |
$-52.56 |
-60.4% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
46 |
0.680 |
$31.02 |
$1.93 |
+6.6% |
| Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
Yes |
150 |
0.205 |
$30.75 |
$2.25 |
+7.9% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
40 |
0.625 |
$25.00 |
$-6.20 |
-19.9% |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.820 |
$24.60 |
$0.20 |
+0.8% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? |
No |
100 |
0.205 |
$20.50 |
$-19.50 |
-48.8% |
| Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? |
No |
50 |
0.395 |
$19.75 |
$-0.25 |
-1.2% |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
Yes |
318 |
0.045 |
$14.29 |
$-5.59 |
-28.1% |
| Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
121 |
0.100 |
$12.10 |
$-65.42 |
-84.4% |
| Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? |
No |
13 |
0.903 |
$11.85 |
$1.66 |
+16.3% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.560 |
$11.20 |
$-0.20 |
-1.8% |
| Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? |
No |
100 |
0.100 |
$10.00 |
$-26.50 |
-72.6% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.994 |
$9.95 |
$6.90 |
+225.9% |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? |
No |
10 |
0.977 |
$9.77 |
$0.36 |
+3.9% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.938 |
$9.38 |
$0.38 |
+4.2% |