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Trader

0xc53da918c76cac5930b9e93369549eeb6f894346
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
93%
13W / 1L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
93%
13W / 1L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
16
across 5 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.01
avg win $0 · loss $0
Profit Factor
1.41
$0 won / $0 lost
Reward / Risk
0.47
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,768 · all-time $978,154

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 38.7% 460W/729L 537 $514
⚽ Sports 40.9% 9W/13L 12 $6
🏛 Politics 85.7% 6W/1L 7 $7
🌤 Weather 100.0% 3W/0L 2 $0
🎬 Culture 85.7% 6W/1L 2 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

24 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Defensor Sporting vs. CA Cerro: O/U 0.5 Under 56 0.495 $27.71 $27.16 +4850.0%
Mjallby AIF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 0.5 Under 20 0.500 $10.10 $9.70 +2400.0%
Mjallby AIF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 2.5 Under 16 0.505 $8.08 $7.76 +2425.0%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by August 31, 2026? Yes 8 0.223 $1.84 $1.58 +596.8%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend EDward Gaming 7 0.210 $1.37 $0.85 +162.5%
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 0.5 Under 18 0.074 $1.33 $0.61 +85.0%
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Siena Saints (W) Manhattan Jaspers 2 0.465 $0.92 $-0.13 -12.3%
Will Steven King be the HI-02 Democratic nominee? Yes 69 0.013 $0.90 $0.55 +154.5%
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 0.5 Under 10 0.070 $0.69 $0.29 +73.7%
Will Mistral be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes 8 0.087 $0.69 $0.53 +334.5%
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka Afghanistan 4 0.160 $0.66 $0.58 +699.8%
Will Kirill Basin be the HI-02 Democratic nominee? Yes 13 0.038 $0.50 $0.10 +26.6%
Will LDPR win the next Tomsk Oblast Parliament elections? Yes 11 0.034 $0.36 $-0.07 -16.3%
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes 5 0.050 $0.26 $0.05 +25.0%
Will New People win the next Tomsk Oblast Parliament elections? Yes 17 0.015 $0.24 $-0.16 -39.9%
Will A Just Russia win the next Tomsk Oblast Parliament elections? Yes 21 0.011 $0.22 $-0.13 -37.2%
Will CPRF win the next Tomsk Oblast Parliament elections? Yes 8 0.024 $0.20 $-0.05 -20.0%
Viking FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 0.5 Under 5 0.025 $0.12 $-0.18 -59.2%
Will United Russia win the next Tomsk Oblast Parliament elections? No 6 0.014 $0.09 $-0.29 -76.7%
Will Greg Guithues be the HI-02 Democratic nominee? Yes 18 0.004 $0.07 $-0.32 -81.8%
Will Romeu Zema qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes 1 0.029 $0.03 $-0.02 -41.0%
Overwatch: All Gamers vs Solus Victorem (BO3) - OCS China Stage 2 Seeding Decider Matches All Gamers 56 0.000 $0.00 $-0.56 -100.0%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 56 0.000 $0.00 $-0.56 -100.0%
Racing Club De Lens vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 0.5 Under 5 0.000 $0.00 $-0.15 -100.0%