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Trader leaderboard/0xC4A7523e78D5a904d9f03BebBa723b7A8bF9898A-1773297208920

0xC4A7523e78D5a904d9f03BebBa723b7A8bF9898A-1773297208920

0xc4a7523e78d5a904d9f03bebba723b7a8bf9898a
PnL (30d)
−$230
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$69
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
90%
535W / 60L · 434 open
Win Return (30d)
83%
848W / 173L · 8 open
Trades (30d)
1,029
across 117 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
−$3.77
avg win $7 · loss $59
Profit Factor
0.61
$362 won / $592 lost
Reward / Risk
0.12
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$16
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $10,242 · all-time $348,445

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 89.9% 535W/60L 117 $51,218
🏛 Politics 96.6% 28W/1L 19 $9,506
💵 Economy 100.0% 8W/0L 19 $4,644
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/1L 15 $1,123
🤖 Tech 100.0% 4W/0L 4 $247
⚽ Sports 58.6% 17W/12L 4 $289
🎬 Culture 3 $2,418
🔬 Science 1 $1,784

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

50 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? No 2,662 0.964 $2,564.77 $73.70 +3.0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 2,620 0.963 $2,522.04 $32.03 +1.3%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No 2,466 0.973 $2,397.97 $0.63 +0.0%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 1,733 0.935 $1,620.54 $8.87 +0.6%
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No 1,473 0.955 $1,407.18 $7.37 +0.5%
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No 1,504 0.915 $1,376.11 $-15.02 -1.1%
Trump out as President by August 31? No 1,179 0.993 $1,170.01 $3.50 +0.3%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No 981 0.955 $937.16 $15.84 +1.7%
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 621 0.978 $607.03 $2.47 +0.4%
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026? No 578 0.990 $572.35 $6.16 +1.1%
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes 523 0.962 $503.08 $4.42 +0.9%
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No 398 0.977 $388.26 $10.53 +2.8%
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? No 327 0.985 $321.99 $12.77 +4.1%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No 300 0.885 $265.20 $2.07 +0.8%
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No 243 0.945 $229.42 $5.96 +2.7%
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No 338 0.615 $207.99 $-13.22 -6.0%
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? No 187 0.994 $185.55 $0.89 +0.5%
JD Vance out as VP by December 31? No 175 0.945 $165.45 $2.63 +1.6%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes 180 0.915 $165.08 $0.96 +0.6%
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 141 0.973 $137.45 $-0.90 -0.7%
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No 127 0.955 $121.18 $2.07 +1.7%
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No 121 0.956 $115.45 $0.92 +0.8%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? Yes 104 1.000 $104.30 $0.16 +0.2%
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No 108 0.895 $97.03 $-0.40 -0.4%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? No 79 0.987 $77.62 $0.08 +0.1%