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Trader leaderboard/JamesNguyen12

JamesNguyen12

0xc440c68eeef8c4e0782ba26e77def7596ccd2e0e
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$6
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
66%
94W / 48L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
65%
94W / 51L
Trades (30d)
145
across 108 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.06
avg win $1 · loss $2
Profit Factor
1.13
$56 won / $50 lost
Reward / Risk
0.49
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,167 · all-time $100,172

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 55.5% 1,717W/1,378L 1133 $14,813
₿ Crypto 48.6% 260W/275L 79 $1,445
⚽ Sports 51.6% 112W/105L 78 $795
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/3L 3 $15
🏛 Politics 3 $23
🔬 Science 1 $10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 63 0.886 $55.97 $5.97 +11.9%
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? No 60 0.800 $48.33 $7.13 +17.3%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 22 0.925 $20.79 $0.79 +3.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 7? Yes 22 0.905 $19.96 $4.96 +33.1%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 28 0.625 $17.36 $-2.64 -13.2%
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026? No 13 0.955 $12.76 $-0.07 -0.5%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 10? Yes 13 0.790 $10.51 $-0.40 -3.7%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 22 0.465 $10.19 $-4.81 -32.0%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No 14 0.750 $10.14 $0.14 +1.4%
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs 1win 20 0.465 $9.12 $-0.88 -8.8%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No 10 0.860 $8.97 $1.04 +13.2%
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026? No 10 0.860 $8.66 $-0.10 -1.1%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 6 0.835 $4.72 $-0.08 -1.8%
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes 25 0.145 $3.62 $-0.38 -9.4%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 1 0.915 $1.37 $0.11 +8.6%