PnL (30d)

−$16

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$50

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-95.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

1W / 1L · 8 open

Win Return (30d)

10%

1W / 9L

Trades (30d)

10

across 6 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$7.93

avg win $1 · loss $17

Profit Factor

0.04

$1 won / $17 lost

Reward / Risk

0.04

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	50.0% 1W/1L	6	$1,618
💵 Economy	—	1	$165
🏛 Politics	—	1	$54

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	11,000	0.009	$104.50	$-88.12	-45.7%
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?	Yes	1,200	0.056	$66.60	$-66.73	-50.0%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.035	$34.50	$-45.50	-56.9%
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?	Yes	338	0.085	$28.73	$-22.84	-44.3%