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Trader leaderboard/kastetem

kastetem

0xc427980d20632c60c5a43fb689540c7f6f776f4d
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$899
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$113
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+11.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
51%
60W / 58L · 9 open
Win Return (30d)
50%
63W / 64L
Trades (30d)
127
across 25 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$49.95
avg win $546 · loss $347
Profit Factor
1.26
$4,368 won / $3,469 lost
Reward / Risk
1.57
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$358
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $13,855 · all-time $830,620

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 58.2% 145W/104L 60 $37,898
💵 Economy 7.1% 1W/13L 10 $2,254
₿ Crypto 7.1% 1W/13L 9 $2,204
🏛 Politics 2 $362
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/7L 2 $753

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? Yes 2,631 0.350 $920.95 $-36.31 -3.8%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? No 1,200 0.695 $833.88 $245.88 +41.8%
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? Yes 1,362 0.565 $769.58 $81.17 +11.8%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? Yes 4,064 0.185 $751.90 $146.12 +24.1%
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30? Yes 1,338 0.330 $441.67 $46.84 +11.9%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $90 in August? Yes 1,300 0.330 $429.00 $-147.00 -25.5%
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026? Yes 1,254 0.315 $394.89 $19.13 +5.1%
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? Yes 1,831 0.185 $338.66 $-23.76 -6.6%
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? Yes 955 0.320 $305.61 $-28.65 -8.6%
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? Yes 3,803 0.025 $95.07 $-402.93 -80.9%
Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by August 31? No 88 0.925 $81.39 $31.90 +64.4%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $80 in August? Yes 224 0.110 $24.64 $-70.34 -74.1%
Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026? Yes 154 0.120 $18.53 $-4.63 -20.0%
Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid? Yes 500 0.018 $9.25 $-90.75 -90.8%
Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026? No 5 0.575 $2.88 $-0.02 -0.9%