PnL (30d)

−$1,135

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$2,599

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

44%

68W / 86L · 288 open

Win Return (30d)

81%

356W / 86L

Trades (30d)

442

across 39 markets · ~11 per market

EV / position

−$40.55

avg win $99 · loss $118

Profit Factor

0.46

$986 won / $2,121 lost

Reward / Risk

0.84

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$17

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	44.2% 68W/86L	39	$727,564
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/11L	8	$105,082
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/4L	2	$1
₿ Crypto	100.0% 2W/0L	1	$6,189
💵 Economy	100.0% 2W/0L	1	$6,189

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

23 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	60,000	0.883	$53,010.00	$23,010.00	+76.7%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	60,000	0.866	$51,930.00	$21,930.00	+73.1%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	60,000	0.816	$48,930.00	$18,930.00	+63.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	30,000	0.790	$23,715.00	$8,715.00	+58.1%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	60,000	0.184	$11,070.00	$-18,930.00	-63.1%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	60,000	0.135	$8,070.00	$-21,929.94	-73.1%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	60,000	0.117	$6,990.00	$-23,009.94	-76.7%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	30,000	0.209	$6,285.00	$-8,714.97	-58.1%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	Yes	2,760	0.855	$2,360.05	$342.88	+17.0%
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	16,598	0.002	$24.90	$-100.06	-80.1%
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	16,598	0.002	$24.90	$-100.06	-80.1%
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	16,598	0.002	$24.90	$-100.06	-80.1%
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	16,598	0.002	$24.90	$-100.06	-80.1%
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	16,598	0.002	$24.90	$-100.06	-80.1%
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	16,598	0.002	$24.90	$-100.06	-80.1%
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	16,598	0.002	$24.90	$-100.06	-80.1%
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	16,598	0.002	$24.90	$-100.06	-80.1%
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	16,598	0.002	$24.90	$-100.06	-80.1%
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	16,598	0.002	$24.90	$-100.06	-80.1%
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	16,598	0.002	$24.90	$-100.06	-80.1%
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	11,026	0.002	$16.54	$-69.60	-80.8%
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	9,004	0.002	$13.51	$-56.83	-80.8%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	12	0.963	$11.90	$0.23	+1.9%