| Modi out by December 31, 2026? |
No |
455 |
0.929 |
$422.90 |
$5.42 |
+1.3% |
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? |
No |
404 |
0.830 |
$335.10 |
$59.50 |
+21.6% |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
Yes |
323 |
0.685 |
$221.25 |
$-4.13 |
-1.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
222 |
0.845 |
$187.59 |
$16.21 |
+9.5% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
143 |
0.853 |
$121.72 |
$13.64 |
+12.6% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
128 |
0.823 |
$105.05 |
$0.83 |
+0.8% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
150 |
0.645 |
$96.74 |
$2.25 |
+2.4% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
108 |
0.865 |
$93.42 |
$19.98 |
+27.2% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
Yes |
395 |
0.210 |
$82.89 |
$-17.53 |
-17.5% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
110 |
0.715 |
$78.65 |
$13.75 |
+21.2% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? |
No |
100 |
0.745 |
$74.50 |
$-4.50 |
-5.7% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
70 |
0.745 |
$52.15 |
$13.16 |
+33.7% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
90 |
0.465 |
$41.85 |
$-6.75 |
-13.9% |
| Lalit Modi to announce new MMA league by the end of 2026? |
No |
34 |
0.740 |
$25.46 |
$-3.38 |
-11.7% |
| Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.989 |
$19.78 |
$2.38 |
+13.7% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
30 |
0.515 |
$15.45 |
$1.95 |
+14.4% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
Yes |
200 |
0.065 |
$13.00 |
$-27.00 |
-67.5% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.625 |
$12.50 |
$-1.10 |
-8.1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
60 |
0.175 |
$10.50 |
$0.30 |
+2.9% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.415 |
$8.30 |
$-0.30 |
-3.5% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.325 |
$6.50 |
$1.30 |
+25.0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
45 |
0.125 |
$5.62 |
$2.02 |
+56.2% |