PnL (30d)

−$41

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$193

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

33%

204W / 408L · 14 open

Win Return (30d)

35%

218W / 408L

Trades (30d)

626

across 82 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

−$0.51

avg win $100 · loss $72

Profit Factor

0.99

$3,292 won / $3,332 lost

Reward / Risk

1.38

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$279

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	33.3% 204W/408L	82	$20,322
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/54L	5	$1,970
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/54L	5	$1,970

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	900	0.999	$898.65	$22.05	+2.5%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	400	0.993	$397.20	$6.00	+1.5%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	396	0.967	$382.73	$165.10	+75.9%
Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Charles Oliveira next?	Yes	100	0.963	$96.25	$93.25	+3108.3%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	200	0.032	$6.30	$-5.70	-47.5%
Will DeVante Hill be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?	No	2	0.999	$2.35	$0.35	+17.5%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	900	0.002	$1.35	$0.45	+50.0%
Will Justin Gaethje fight Charles Oliveira next?	Yes	95	0.011	$1.04	$-5.60	-84.3%
Will Conor McGregor fight Charles Oliveira next?	Yes	100	0.002	$0.20	$-4.80	-96.0%