PnL (30d)

−$36

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$158

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

73%

52W / 19L · 115 open

Win Return (30d)

45%

78W / 96L · 12 open

Trades (30d)

186

across 25 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

−$5.20

avg win $35 · loss $21

Profit Factor

0.66

$70 won / $107 lost

Reward / Risk

1.65

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	53.8% 597W/512L	143	$117,132
⚽ Sports	21.4% 3W/11L	10	$327
₿ Crypto	—	6	$323
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	4	$518
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/1L	2	$3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

76 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	20,007	0.865	$17,306.31	$64.76	+0.4%
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?	Yes	14,000	0.595	$8,330.00	$1,330.00	+19.0%
Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?	Yes	14,000	0.407	$5,696.60	$4,529.94	+388.3%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	6,875	0.184	$1,268.51	$-77.63	-5.8%
Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	1,354	0.255	$345.33	$121.30	+54.1%
Will September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	2,517	0.130	$327.26	$81.33	+33.1%
Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	1,292	0.240	$310.12	$135.03	+77.1%
Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	1,461	0.180	$262.98	$12.31	+4.9%
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	2,099	0.115	$241.40	$14.47	+6.4%
Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	1,510	0.125	$188.74	$66.27	+54.1%
Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	680	0.160	$108.84	$25.09	+30.0%
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	22,501	0.003	$56.25	$-104.88	-65.1%
Will Trump deport 400-500k people?	Yes	80	0.605	$48.40	$28.40	+142.0%
Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	3,000	0.011	$34.50	$-3.50	-9.2%
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	22,575	0.002	$33.86	$-296.86	-89.8%
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	22,518	0.002	$33.78	$-126.89	-79.0%
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	22,518	0.002	$33.78	$-126.89	-79.0%
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	22,518	0.002	$33.78	$-126.89	-79.0%
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	22,518	0.002	$33.78	$-126.89	-79.0%
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	22,501	0.002	$33.75	$-127.38	-79.1%
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	22,501	0.002	$33.75	$-127.38	-79.1%
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	22,501	0.002	$33.75	$-127.38	-79.1%
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	22,140	0.002	$33.21	$-139.75	-80.8%
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	264	0.125	$32.98	$1.32	+4.2%
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	12,611	0.003	$31.53	$-132.94	-80.8%