| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
22,096 |
0.215 |
$4,750.54 |
$-5,791.30 |
-54.9% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
Yes |
13,859 |
0.110 |
$1,524.47 |
$-2,791.78 |
-64.7% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
10,004 |
0.147 |
$1,475.64 |
$-387.22 |
-20.8% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5,112 |
0.185 |
$945.79 |
$-218.87 |
-18.8% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
3,638 |
0.215 |
$782.16 |
$-947.82 |
-54.8% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
2,233 |
0.065 |
$145.17 |
$-290.83 |
-66.7% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
830 |
0.143 |
$119.14 |
$5.69 |
+5.0% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? |
Yes |
648 |
0.125 |
$81.03 |
$-30.67 |
-27.5% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
150 |
0.510 |
$76.50 |
$2.75 |
+3.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
No |
513 |
0.145 |
$74.34 |
$-143.56 |
-65.9% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
245 |
0.278 |
$67.95 |
$-0.71 |
-1.0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
519 |
0.095 |
$49.30 |
$-66.29 |
-57.3% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.022 |
$45.00 |
$11.00 |
+32.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
200 |
0.165 |
$33.00 |
$-7.00 |
-17.5% |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,116 |
0.029 |
$31.81 |
$-4.17 |
-11.6% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
1,260 |
0.019 |
$24.58 |
$-17.44 |
-41.5% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
200 |
0.117 |
$23.30 |
$-9.90 |
-29.8% |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.011 |
$23.00 |
$-21.00 |
-47.7% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
110 |
0.135 |
$14.80 |
$0.72 |
+5.1% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
Yes |
520 |
0.019 |
$10.14 |
$-191.46 |
-95.0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? |
Yes |
77 |
0.095 |
$7.31 |
$-2.69 |
-26.9% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? |
Yes |
10 |
0.655 |
$6.55 |
$1.15 |
+21.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
No |
100 |
0.055 |
$5.50 |
$-7.50 |
-57.7% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
100 |
0.049 |
$4.90 |
$1.10 |
+28.9% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
10 |
0.325 |
$3.25 |
$-0.35 |
-9.7% |